Which Underdog NFL Teams Have The Highest Probability Of A 2023 Playoff Berth?

David

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Post on May 28, 2025

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Which Underdog NFL Teams Have the Highest Probability of a 2023 Playoff Berth?

The NFL season is upon us, and while the usual suspects like the Chiefs and Bills are heavy favorites, the landscape is ripe with potential for underdog teams to make a surprise playoff run. This year's contenders are a fascinating mix of rebuilding franchises showing early promise and established teams looking to bounce back from disappointing seasons. But which dark horses have the best chance of securing a coveted playoff berth in 2023? Let's dive into the analysis.

Methodology: Considering More Than Just Wins and Losses

Predicting playoff success goes beyond simply looking at preseason power rankings. We're considering several key factors:

• Improved Coaching: A new coach can often revitalize a team's performance. We'll look at teams with new coaching staff and their potential impact.
• Offseason Acquisitions: Strategic free agent signings and smart draft picks can significantly boost a team's chances.
• Key Player Development: The emergence of young stars or the return of injured veterans can be game-changers.
• Strength of Schedule: A manageable schedule offers a better opportunity to accumulate wins.
• Team Chemistry and Culture: A positive team environment is crucial for success.

Top Underdog Contenders for a 2023 Playoff Berth:

Several teams stand out as possessing the necessary ingredients for a surprising playoff push.

1. The Detroit Lions: The Lions ended last season on a high note, showcasing a dynamic offense and a renewed energy under Dan Campbell. Their improved defense and a relatively favorable schedule put them in a strong position to compete for a Wild Card spot. The addition of key players in the offseason further strengthens their playoff hopes. This team is built for a run.

2. The New York Jets: The arrival of Aaron Rodgers significantly elevates the Jets' potential. While the AFC East is competitive, Rodgers' leadership and experience, combined with a strong supporting cast, could be the catalyst for a playoff berth. The key will be consistency and avoiding injuries. Their improved offensive line also gives Rodgers a better chance of success.

3. The Jacksonville Jaguars: After their surprising playoff run last season, the Jaguars are poised to build on their momentum. With Trevor Lawrence entering his third season and a strengthened roster, they have a legitimate chance to win the AFC South. However, the division remains competitive, and consistency will be key. A strong defense will be crucial to their success this year.

4. The Pittsburgh Steelers: With Kenny Pickett entering his second season, the Steelers hope to improve on their performance from last year. A strong running game and a solid defense will be crucial for them to contend in the highly competitive AFC North. While a tough division makes it a long shot, the Steelers are always a competitive team.

Long Shots with Potential Upsets:

While the above teams have the highest probabilities, don't count out teams like the Washington Commanders and the Atlanta Falcons. These teams have shown improvement and could make a late push for a Wild Card spot if things break their way.

Conclusion: Expect the Unexpected

The NFL is notoriously unpredictable. While the favorites always have a strong chance, several underdog teams possess the potential to shock the league and secure a playoff berth in 2023. Keep an eye on the Lions, Jets, and Jaguars, as they appear to have the most promising paths to the postseason. Remember to check back for updates and further analysis as the season progresses. What do you think? Which underdog team are you rooting for this year? Let us know in the comments below!