Underdog Alert: The Fringe NFL Teams With The Highest Probability Of A 2023 Postseason Berth

David

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Post on Sep 17, 2025

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Underdog Alert: The Fringe NFL Teams Most Likely to Make the 2023 Playoffs

The NFL season is a rollercoaster. While powerhouse teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are perennial playoff contenders, the real drama unfolds in the fight for the remaining postseason spots. This year, several "fringe" teams – those not typically considered playoff locks – possess a surprisingly high probability of making a deep run. Are they contenders or pretenders? Let's dive into the data and examine the NFL teams most likely to defy expectations and snatch a coveted playoff berth in 2023.

Identifying the Underdogs: Key Metrics & Analysis

Predicting playoff success requires more than just gut feeling. We're looking at a combination of factors:

• Strength of Schedule (SOS): A tougher schedule can deflate even the most talented teams. We'll consider the remaining games and their opponent's win-loss records.
• Offensive & Defensive Efficiency: Advanced metrics like EPA (Expected Points Added) provide a clearer picture of team performance than simply looking at wins and losses.
• Injury Report: The health of key players, especially quarterbacks, can drastically alter a team's trajectory.
• Coaching & Momentum: A strong coaching staff and positive team momentum can propel a team beyond expectations.

The Top Contenders for a Surprise Playoff Berth:

Several teams are standing out as potential playoff dark horses. Here are three that have generated significant buzz:

1. The New York Jets: With Aaron Rodgers at the helm, the Jets have a legitimate shot at the postseason. Their offensive potential is undeniable, even with some early season struggles. Their SOS is relatively manageable, and a strong finish is within reach. Key to their success will be maintaining Rodgers' health and improving their consistency on both sides of the ball. Will the Rodgers-era Jets live up to the hype? Only time will tell.

2. The Detroit Lions: The Lions surprised many with their improved performance last season. Their high-powered offense, led by Jared Goff and a potent receiving corps, is a force to be reckoned with. While their defense needs further refinement, their aggressive style and exciting gameplay have already garnered a strong fanbase. If they can solidify their defensive performance, a playoff appearance is certainly within their grasp. .

3. The Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers, under Kenny Pickett's leadership, are displaying signs of a resurgence. Their running game is formidable, and their defense, traditionally a Steelers strength, is showing improvement. A favorable late-season schedule could be the key to unlocking their playoff potential. Their success will depend heavily on Pickett's continued development and the consistency of their running game. .

Long Shots Worth Watching:

While the above teams are considered the most likely, a few others could potentially sneak into the playoff picture:

• The Green Bay Packers: A wildcard contender, depending on the continued development of Jordan Love.
• The Washington Commanders: Their playoff chances hinge heavily on consistent quarterback play and a strong defensive performance.

Conclusion: Embrace the Underdog Story

The NFL is unpredictable. While some teams are clear favorites, don't count out these underdogs. Their paths to the playoffs are certainly challenging, but their potential for a stunning postseason run is undeniable. Stay tuned as the season unfolds and these teams battle for a chance to rewrite the narrative. Who will emerge victorious? Only time will tell. Let us know in the comments which team you think has the best chance of making a surprising playoff run!