On The Bubble: Ranking The NFL's Most Likely Playoff Dark Horses (2023)

David

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Post on Aug 29, 2025

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On the Bubble: Ranking the NFL's Most Likely Playoff Dark Horses (2023)

The NFL season is in full swing, and while some teams have cemented their positions as playoff contenders, the race for the postseason remains fiercely competitive. This year, several teams are bubbling just below the surface, poised to make a surprising playoff run. These are the dark horses, the unexpected contenders who could steal a wildcard spot and make some serious noise in the playoffs. But which teams have the best chance? Let's rank the most likely playoff dark horses of the 2023 NFL season.

Methodology: Assessing Playoff Potential

Our ranking considers several key factors: current standings, remaining schedule strength, recent performance trends, key injuries, and overall team chemistry. We're looking beyond simple win-loss records to identify teams with the potential for a late-season surge. While predicting the future in the NFL is notoriously difficult, these factors give us a strong basis for our assessment.

The Top 5 NFL Playoff Dark Horses (2023)

1. The New York Jets (AFC): The Jets' success hinges heavily on the performance of quarterback Aaron Rodgers. While his season hasn't quite met initial expectations, the team's defense remains a strong point. A favorable remaining schedule could be the key to propelling them into a wildcard spot. Their success will depend on consistency and avoiding critical turnovers.

2. The Green Bay Packers (NFC): The Packers, led by Jordan Love, have shown flashes of brilliance. While their inconsistency is a concern, their improved running game and a relatively easier schedule down the stretch give them a realistic shot at the playoffs. Their ability to control the clock and keep Love from making crucial mistakes will be crucial.

3. The Detroit Lions (NFC): The Lions' high-octane offense is exciting, but their defense has been a point of vulnerability. If they can shore up their defensive issues, their explosive offense could carry them to a playoff berth. Their remaining schedule presents a significant challenge, however.

4. The Atlanta Falcons (NFC): The Falcons boast a surprisingly strong running game and a young, developing quarterback in Desmond Ridder. Their defense, however, needs significant improvement. Their playoff chances rest on consistent offensive performances and significant defensive improvements.

5. The Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC): The Steelers, despite some early season struggles, possess a gritty defense and a surprisingly resilient offense. Kenny Pickett’s development will be key to their postseason aspirations. A manageable remaining schedule gives them a fighting chance.

Long Shots with Potential Upsets

While the above teams represent the most likely dark horses, a few other teams could still make a surprising run. Teams like the Cleveland Browns or the New Orleans Saints aren't out of the picture entirely, but face tougher climbs to the playoffs due to stronger division competition and more difficult remaining schedules.

What to Watch For

The final weeks of the NFL season will be crucial. Pay close attention to:

• Head-to-head matchups: Direct competition between these dark horse contenders will significantly impact their playoff chances.
• Injury reports: Key injuries to starters can derail even the most promising teams.
• Offensive and defensive consistency: Sustained performance across multiple games will be the deciding factor for many teams.

This season's NFL playoff race is shaping up to be one of the most exciting in recent years. Keep an eye on these dark horses; they could be the story of the postseason. Who do you think will make the biggest surprise run? Share your predictions in the comments below!