NFL Postseason Projections: The Underdog Teams With The Highest Probability Of Making The 2023 Playoffs

David

3 min read

Post on Jun 02, 2025

4.4

Share

NFL Postseason Projections: Underdog Teams with the Highest Playoff Probability in 2023

The NFL season is in full swing, and while some teams are clear frontrunners, the race for the playoffs is far from over. Several underdog teams are showing surprising strength and have a real shot at making the postseason. This article dives deep into the data, analyzing which teams have the highest probability of defying expectations and securing a playoff berth in the 2023 season.

Methodology: Our projections are based on a comprehensive analysis of current team performance, remaining schedules, advanced statistics, and expert opinion. We've considered factors like point differentials, strength of schedule, key injuries, and team momentum. While no prediction is foolproof, this analysis provides a reasoned assessment of each team's chances.

The Contenders: Underdog Teams with a Real Playoff Shot

Several teams currently sit outside the playoff picture but possess the potential to make a late-season surge. Here are some of the most promising underdog teams with a significant probability of making the playoffs in 2023:

• The New York Jets: The Jets' acquisition of Aaron Rodgers injected new life into the franchise. While their early season has been inconsistent, their potent offense and improved defense give them a legitimate chance if Rodgers remains healthy and the team finds its rhythm. Their remaining schedule presents both challenges and opportunities. A strong finish could propel them into a Wild Card spot.

• The Detroit Lions: The Lions are a team on the rise, boasting an exciting offense led by Jared Goff and a rapidly improving defense. Their aggressive, high-scoring style of play makes them dangerous opponents. Consistency will be key for Detroit, but their potential for a late-season push is undeniably high. Check out for further analysis on their playoff chances.

• The Green Bay Packers: Despite a shaky start, the Packers, under Jordan Love, have shown glimpses of their potential. Their defense remains a strong point, and if Love can consistently deliver, Green Bay could be a dark horse in the NFC. The Packers' remaining schedule will be crucial in determining their playoff fate.

• The Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons' resurgence under Arthur Smith has been impressive. Their strong running game and improving defense provide a solid foundation. While their path to the playoffs is challenging, consistent wins against divisional rivals and other playoff contenders could put them in contention.

Factors Affecting Playoff Chances:

Several factors beyond team performance influence playoff probabilities:

• Injury Reports: The health of key players is paramount. A significant injury to a star quarterback or defensive leader can drastically alter a team's trajectory. Staying updated on NFL injury news is crucial for accurate projections.
• Divisional Races: Winning divisional games is critical for securing a playoff berth. Head-to-head matchups often determine seeding and playoff positioning.
• Strength of Schedule: The remaining games on a team's schedule play a significant role. A tough schedule can hinder a team's chances, while a more favorable schedule can boost their playoff probability.

Conclusion:

Predicting the NFL playoffs is inherently challenging, but by carefully analyzing team performance, remaining schedules, and key factors, we can identify the underdog teams with the highest probability of making the postseason. The Jets, Lions, Packers, and Falcons represent compelling examples of teams with a realistic chance to surprise many and secure a coveted playoff spot in 2023. Keep an eye on these teams as the season progresses! Follow us for updated playoff projections throughout the season.