NFL Postseason Projections: The Fringe Contenders With The Highest Probability Of Making The Playoffs In 2023

David

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Post on May 22, 2025

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NFL Postseason Projections 2023: Dark Horse Playoff Contenders

The NFL regular season is a marathon, not a sprint, but the finish line is rapidly approaching. While some teams have cemented their playoff positions, a thrilling battle rages for the remaining spots. This year, several "fringe contenders" possess a surprisingly high probability of making the playoffs in 2023. Forget the usual suspects; let's delve into the dark horses poised to make a postseason run.

Methodology: Beyond the Obvious

Predicting NFL playoff outcomes is notoriously difficult. Simple win-loss records don't tell the whole story. Our projections consider several key factors:

• Strength of Schedule (SOS): Facing a brutal schedule diminishes a team's chances, while a softer schedule boosts them.
• Recent Performance: Momentum is crucial. Teams on hot streaks are more likely to continue their winning ways.
• Key Injuries: The absence of star players can significantly impact a team's playoff aspirations.
• Offensive and Defensive Efficiency: Advanced metrics provide a deeper understanding of team performance beyond basic statistics.

Top Fringe Contenders for the 2023 NFL Playoffs:

1. The New York Jets: The Jets' fortunes hinge heavily on the performance of quarterback Aaron Rodgers. If Rodgers can recapture his MVP form and the defense remains solid, they have a legitimate shot. Their SOS is manageable, and their recent performances, while inconsistent, show flashes of brilliance. A strong finish to the season is crucial for their playoff hopes.

2. The Green Bay Packers: Despite a slow start, the Packers possess a surprisingly potent offense led by Jordan Love. Their defense has shown glimpses of its potential, and a favourable remaining schedule significantly boosts their chances. Improved consistency on both sides of the ball is key for their postseason ambitions.

3. The Detroit Lions: The Lions are a team on the rise. Their high-powered offense, led by Jared Goff, has been a joy to watch. While their defense needs improvement, their offensive firepower and exciting style of play make them a dangerous wildcard. A strong finish, especially against divisional opponents, could secure their playoff berth.

4. The Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons' surprising success is a testament to their improved roster and coaching staff. Their running game is a force, but questions remain about their passing attack's consistency. A favorable schedule provides an opportunity to make a late-season push. Consistency and improved pass defense are vital for their postseason hopes.

Long Shots with Potential for Upset:

Several other teams could sneak into the playoffs if things break their way. Teams like the Washington Commanders and the New Orleans Saints possess the talent to make a late-season surge, but their chances are slimmer compared to the top contenders listed above.

Conclusion: A Tight Race to the Finish

The 2023 NFL postseason race is incredibly tight. These fringe contenders have a real opportunity to make a statement and secure a playoff berth. Keep your eye on their progress in the coming weeks; a thrilling end to the season is guaranteed. Who do you think will make the final cut? Let us know in the comments below!

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