NFL 2023 Postseason: Which Fringe Teams Have The Highest Probability Of Making The Playoffs?

David

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Post on Jun 13, 2025

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NFL 2023 Postseason: Dark Horse Contenders with a Shot at the Playoffs

The NFL regular season is a rollercoaster, and as we approach the halfway point, several teams are defying expectations. While the usual suspects like the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are comfortably positioned, a handful of "fringe" teams are showing surprising strength and have a legitimate shot at a playoff berth. This article dives into which teams possess the highest probability of making a late-season push and securing a coveted postseason spot.

Defining the "Fringe" Teams:

For the purposes of this analysis, "fringe" teams are those currently outside of a playoff spot but possess a realistic path to contention. This involves considering their remaining schedule, current roster strength, and recent performance trends. We're looking beyond the obvious contenders and focusing on the teams with the potential to surprise.

Top Dark Horse Contenders:

Several teams stand out as possessing the highest probability of making the playoffs:

• The New York Jets (AFC): Despite a few recent setbacks, the Jets, bolstered by the addition of Aaron Rodgers, remain a dangerous team. Their success hinges on Rodgers' performance and the consistency of their running game. A favorable remaining schedule could catapult them into the postseason race. Key to their success: Staying healthy and limiting turnovers. [Link to Jets' remaining schedule]

• The Los Angeles Chargers (AFC): The Chargers have shown flashes of brilliance but have also been plagued by inconsistency. Justin Herbert's arm talent is undeniable, but their defense needs to step up significantly. A strong finish, coupled with some help from other teams, could put them in a playoff position. Key to their success: Defensive improvement and consistency on both sides of the ball. [Link to Chargers' team stats]

• The Washington Commanders (NFC): The Commanders have surprised many with their competitive spirit. Their strong running game and a developing defense give them a fighting chance. The NFC is a more competitive conference this year, but a strong finish could see them sneak into a wild card spot. Key to their success: Continued strong rushing attack and improved offensive consistency. [Link to Commanders' game highlights]

• The Green Bay Packers (NFC): While not traditionally considered a "fringe" team, the Packers' performance has been below expectations. However, their improved defense and Jordan Love's development present a possibility for a late-season surge. The NFC North remains up for grabs, providing an opportunity for them to secure a division title. Key to their success: Continued defensive dominance and Love's consistent growth. [Link to Packers' news and analysis]

Factors Influencing Playoff Probabilities:

Several factors beyond team performance influence playoff probabilities:

• Strength of Schedule: Teams with easier remaining schedules have a higher probability of winning more games.
• Divisional Races: Winning the division guarantees a playoff spot, giving a significant advantage.
• Injury Reports: Key injuries can significantly impact a team's performance and playoff chances.
• Other Teams' Performances: Unexpected wins or losses by competing teams can significantly shift the playoff landscape.

Conclusion:

The NFL is known for its unpredictability, and the 2023 season is proving to be no exception. While several teams are clear frontrunners, the "fringe" contenders mentioned above possess the talent and opportunity to make a serious playoff push. The final weeks of the regular season will be crucial in determining who emerges victorious and secures a coveted spot in the NFL postseason. Keep your eyes on these teams; they could be the surprise story of the year.

Call to Action: Who do you think has the best chance of making the playoffs? Share your predictions in the comments below!