NFL 2023 Playoff Contenders: The Long Shots With The Highest Probability Of Making It

David

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Post on May 26, 2025

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NFL 2023 Playoff Contenders: The Long Shots with the Highest Probability of Making it

The NFL regular season is a marathon, not a sprint, and even as we approach the halfway point, the playoff picture remains remarkably fluid. While some teams have cemented their positions as frontrunners, several others, currently considered long shots, possess a realistic chance of sneaking into the postseason. This article analyzes those teams with the highest probability of making a surprising playoff run in 2023.

Identifying the Underdogs: Predicting NFL success is notoriously difficult, but by examining key factors – improved roster performance, favorable remaining schedules, and divisional dynamics – we can identify the teams with the best odds of defying expectations. We're not talking about miracle runs; these are teams with tangible paths to the playoffs.

1. The Green Bay Packers: While Aaron Rodgers' departure to the New York Jets left a massive void, Jordan Love has shown flashes of brilliance. The Packers' defense, bolstered by key additions in the off-season, is playing surprisingly well. Their remaining schedule features several winnable games, making a late-season surge entirely feasible. Their success hinges on Love's continued development and continued defensive dominance.

2. The New Orleans Saints: The Saints' success is directly tied to the performance of their running game and Alvin Kamara's return from injury. A strong ground game can take pressure off Derek Carr, allowing him to make key throws when needed. Their division is surprisingly competitive, but with a favorable run of games, the Saints could easily find themselves in contention. Consistent performance is key for their playoff hopes.

3. The Cleveland Browns: The Browns boast a potent running game and a talented defense, but inconsistency has plagued their season. The return of key players from injury, combined with improved offensive line play, could be the catalyst for a late-season push. Their playoff chances rest heavily on Deshaun Watson’s ability to consistently perform under pressure and minimize turnovers. Winning the AFC North might be a long shot, but a Wild Card berth is within reach.

4. The Detroit Lions: The Lions' exciting offense, led by Jared Goff, has captured the imagination of fans. While their defense needs improvement, their offensive firepower can carry them far. A strong finish to the season, particularly against divisional rivals, could easily propel them into the postseason. Consistency and improved defensive performance are the keys to their success.

Analyzing the Factors for Success:

• Improved Offensive Line Play: Several teams on this list need better protection for their quarterbacks to unleash their offensive potential.
• Defensive Consistency: Strong defenses can often steal games, particularly for teams with less explosive offenses.
• Key Injuries: The absence or return of star players will greatly influence a team's performance.
• Remaining Schedule: A favorable schedule significantly increases a team's playoff odds.

Conclusion: While the road to the playoffs is challenging for these long-shot contenders, their potential for a strong finish cannot be ignored. With improved play, a little bit of luck, and a favorable run of games, these teams could easily find themselves celebrating a playoff berth come January. Keep your eyes on these underdogs; they might just surprise you.

Further Reading:

Call to Action: Who do you think has the best chance of making a surprising playoff run? Share your predictions in the comments below!