Late Tuesday Night Storm Outlook: Very Low Probability Of Severe Weather

David

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Post on May 21, 2025

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Late Tuesday Night Storm Outlook: Very Low Probability of Severe Weather

A sigh of relief for many: After days of anxious weather watching, the National Weather Service (NWS) has issued a reassuring update regarding the late Tuesday night storm system. While some precipitation is expected, the probability of severe weather is exceptionally low, prompting a collective breath of relief across affected regions.

The initial forecasts painted a more ominous picture, leading to widespread concerns about potential tornadoes, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall. However, the latest models indicate a significant shift in the storm's trajectory and intensity. This positive change is largely attributed to a weakening high-pressure system and a shift in the jet stream.

What to Expect Tuesday Night

While the threat of severe weather has diminished drastically, residents should still remain aware of the potential for:

• Light to moderate rain: Scattered showers are anticipated across the region throughout the night. Amounts are expected to be relatively low, with most areas receiving less than half an inch of rainfall.
• Increased cloud cover: Expect cloudy skies throughout the night, limiting visibility in some areas.
• Slightly cooler temperatures: Temperatures will dip slightly overnight, but no significant drop is expected.

Why the Severe Weather Risk is Low

The NWS attributes the reduced severe weather risk to several factors:

• Weakening atmospheric instability: The atmosphere is less likely to support the development of severe thunderstorms due to decreased instability.
• Shifting storm track: The storm system's path has shifted eastward, moving it away from the most vulnerable areas.
• Favorable wind shear: While wind shear can sometimes exacerbate severe weather, in this case, the predicted wind shear profile is less conducive to the formation of strong rotating thunderstorms.

This doesn't mean you should completely disregard the weather. It's still important to:

• Stay informed: Continue monitoring weather updates from the NWS and local news sources. You can find reliable forecasts on the .
• Check road conditions: Light rain can still create slick driving conditions. Exercise caution and allow extra time for travel.
• Be prepared for power outages: Although unlikely, a brief power outage is always a possibility during inclement weather.

Looking Ahead: Wednesday and Beyond

Wednesday is expected to bring partly sunny skies and mild temperatures. The remainder of the week looks relatively calm with no significant weather systems anticipated. However, it’s always wise to keep an eye on the forecast, especially as weather patterns can change rapidly.

While the initial anxiety surrounding the late Tuesday night storm was understandable, the significantly reduced risk of severe weather is welcome news. Remember to stay informed and take necessary precautions, but don’t let unnecessary fear dominate your evening. Enjoy the relative calm and rest assured that the chances of severe weather are exceptionally low.