2025 MLB Cy Young: Can Paul Skenes Overcome A Subpar Starting Record?

David

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Post on Jun 11, 2025

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2025 MLB Cy Young: Can Paul Skenes Overcome a Subpar Starting Record?

The 2024 MLB season is still unfolding, but baseball analysts are already looking ahead to 2025 and the potential Cy Young contenders. One name consistently mentioned is Paul Skenes, the highly touted pitching prospect who recently transitioned from LSU to the professional ranks. However, a question mark hangs over his candidacy: can he overcome a potentially shaky starting record to secure the coveted award?

While Skenes possesses undeniable talent – a power fastball, devastating breaking ball, and pinpoint control – his early professional career will be crucial in shaping his 2025 Cy Young chances. A subpar win-loss record, even with exceptional pitching statistics, could hinder his chances. This isn't unusual for young pitchers; the complexities of Major League Baseball often lead to wins and losses that don't fully reflect a pitcher's individual performance.

<h3>The Importance of Advanced Metrics Beyond Wins and Losses</h3>

In today's analytical baseball world, wins (W) and losses (L) are no longer the sole determinants of pitching success. Advanced metrics like ERA (Earned Run Average), WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched), FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), and K/9 (Strikeouts per nine innings) offer a far more nuanced picture. Skenes's performance in these areas will be key. A low ERA, coupled with a high K/9 and low WHIP, could compensate for a less-than-stellar win-loss record.

For instance, a pitcher might have a losing record due to poor run support from their offense or even bad luck with batted balls finding holes. Skenes' ability to consistently post dominant advanced metrics, despite a potentially disappointing W-L record, would strengthen his Cy Young argument considerably.

<h3>The Role of Team Performance and Run Support</h3>

Another critical factor will be the performance of Skenes' team. Playing for a consistently strong offensive team will significantly boost his win count, directly impacting his Cy Young prospects. Conversely, playing for a team struggling to score runs could lead to a higher number of losses, even if his individual pitching is stellar. This highlights the importance of context when evaluating a pitcher's overall performance.

<h3>Skenes' Potential and the Path to a Cy Young</h3>

Despite the challenges, Skenes' potential remains immense. His college statistics, showcasing exceptional strikeout rates and minimal walks, suggest a bright future. The key for Skenes will be adapting to the professional level, refining his approach, and consistently delivering high-quality pitching performances. If he can maintain his dominance in terms of ERA, WHIP, and strikeouts while also improving his command and minimizing walks, a subpar win-loss record might not be a fatal blow to his Cy Young aspirations.

<h3>Looking Ahead to 2025</h3>

The 2025 MLB Cy Young Award race is wide open. While Skenes faces a significant hurdle in potentially overcoming a subpar win-loss record, his raw talent and advanced statistical potential give him a genuine shot. His progress throughout the next two seasons will be fascinating to watch and will undoubtedly determine whether he becomes a serious contender for baseball's most prestigious pitching award. Keep an eye on Skenes's development; he might just surprise everyone.