2023 NFL Postseason: Which Underdogs Have The Highest Probability Of Making The Playoffs?

David

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Post on May 16, 2025

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2023 NFL Postseason: Unlikely Contenders with a Shot at the Playoffs

The 2023 NFL season is shaping up to be a nail-biter, with several teams defying expectations and emerging as potential playoff dark horses. While the usual suspects like the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are expected to contend, several underdog teams possess the grit and potential to upset the odds and snatch a coveted postseason berth. But which underdogs have the highest probability of making a surprising playoff run? Let's dive in.

Identifying the Underdog Contenders:

Predicting playoff contenders this early is always a risky business, but by analyzing current team performance, remaining schedules, and key player health, we can identify a few teams with legitimate chances. We're focusing on teams currently considered outside the playoff picture but with a realistic path to contention.

1. The New York Jets: While not technically a massive underdog given their offseason hype, the Jets' playoff chances hinge heavily on Aaron Rodgers' performance and the team's ability to stay healthy. Their improved defense and a relatively favorable remaining schedule give them a fighting chance. Key matchups against AFC East rivals will be crucial in determining their fate. The success of their running game will also be a significant factor. A strong finish could easily see them making a wildcard push.

2. The Washington Commanders: With a revitalized offense and a stout defense, the Commanders are quietly building momentum. Their remaining schedule presents some challenges, but consistent wins against divisional opponents and some key victories against other playoff contenders could propel them into contention. The development of their young quarterback will be key to their postseason hopes. Their success relies heavily on consistency and avoiding crucial injuries.

3. The Detroit Lions: After a surprisingly strong 2022 season, the Lions are looking to build on that success. Their explosive offense and a steadily improving defense make them a dangerous team. However, their division, the NFC North, is incredibly competitive. Winning their division is a long shot, but a wildcard spot is certainly within reach if they can maintain their current level of play. A strong finish and some help from other teams will be necessary.

4. The Pittsburgh Steelers: Despite a slow start, the Steelers, under the guidance of Kenny Pickett, remain a formidable opponent. Their strong running game and a historically strong defense give them a fighting chance to make a late-season surge. A favorable run in the final weeks of the season could see them climbing the AFC standings. Consistency and avoiding key injuries are pivotal to their playoff hopes.

Factors Influencing Underdog Success:

Several key factors contribute to an underdog team's chance of making the playoffs:

• Health: Injuries can derail even the most promising seasons. Teams with a clean injury report are significantly more likely to succeed.
• Schedule Strength: Facing a weaker remaining schedule gives underdogs a significant advantage.
• Team Chemistry and Coaching: Strong leadership and a cohesive team environment are essential for overcoming adversity.
• Key Matchups: Winning crucial games against divisional rivals and other playoff contenders is paramount.

Conclusion:

While predicting the NFL playoffs early in the season is difficult, the Jets, Commanders, Lions, and Steelers possess the potential to defy expectations and make a surprising playoff run. Their success will depend on consistency, health, and some fortunate breaks. Keep an eye on these teams as the season progresses – they could be the story of the 2023 NFL postseason.

What are your predictions? Which underdog team do you think has the best shot at making the playoffs? Share your thoughts in the comments below!